{"id":7123,"date":"2019-02-05T01:04:53","date_gmt":"2019-02-05T01:04:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.styledeals.co.uk\/blog\/china-banks-on-lending-to-ease-slowdown\/"},"modified":"2019-02-05T01:04:53","modified_gmt":"2019-02-05T01:04:53","slug":"china-banks-on-lending-to-ease-slowdown","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.styledeals.co.uk\/blog\/china-banks-on-lending-to-ease-slowdown\/","title":{"rendered":"China banks on lending to ease slowdown"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div property=\"articleBody\">\n<figure class=\"media-landscape no-caption full-width lead\"><span class=\"image-and-copyright-container\"><\/p>\n<p>                <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"js-image-replace\" alt=\"Man next to conveyor belt in Alibaba fulfilment centre.\" src=\"https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/320\/cpsprodpb\/13D61\/production\/_105394218_gettyimages-1066160508.jpg\" width=\"976\" height=\"549\"\/><span class=\"off-screen\">Image copyright<\/span><br \/>\n                 <span class=\"story-image-copyright\">Getty Images<\/span><\/p>\n<p>            <\/span><\/p>\n<\/figure>\n<p class=\"story-body__introduction\">Build stuff or buy stuff? China has long been a believer in the former to deal with a slowdown in its economy. Now it&#8217;s trying to shift the emphasis to the latter.<\/p>\n<p>This year will be a big test of how far it&#8217;s come in the transition from state-backed investment to domestic consumption as the main driver of growth.<\/p>\n<p>China&#8217;s President Xi Jinping has warned of a &#8220;struggle&#8221; as his <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/business-46941932\" class=\"story-body__link\">country faces an economic slowdown<\/a>, the likes of which it hasn&#8217;t seen for almost 30 years. <\/p>\n<p>A series of stimulus measures have been unveiled by the government not to boost the economy, but to manage the slowdown.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;China&#8217;s goal is not growth, it&#8217;s stability,&#8221; says economist Andy Xie. <\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The option for stimulated growth again, that is not on the table. The debt level is simply too high, not like in 2008.&#8221;<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"story-body__crosshead\">&#8216;Less room to manoeuvre&#8217;<\/h2>\n<p>China&#8217;s debt has doubled in the aftermath of the global financial crisis 10 years ago, to around 300% of the size of its economy. <\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The level is so high now it&#8217;s not easy to move the economy,&#8221; Mr Xie says.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"media-landscape has-caption full-width\"><span class=\"image-and-copyright-container\"><\/p>\n<p>            <\/span><figcaption class=\"media-caption\"><span class=\"off-screen\">Image caption<\/span><br \/>\n                <span class=\"media-caption__text\"><br \/>\n                    Economist Andy Xie says China&#8217;s debt levels limit its options<br \/>\n                <\/span><br \/>\n            <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Whether it wants to borrow more to build, or to encourage people to buy, he thinks China&#8217;s ruling Communist Party has far less room to manoeuvre. <\/p>\n<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s not easy to move the needle when the base is so large,&#8221; he says.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"story-body__unordered-list\">\n<li class=\"story-body__list-item\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/av\/world-46977541\/china-s-economic-slowdown-explained\" class=\"story-body__link\">China&#8217;s slowdown explained <\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"story-body__list-item\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/business-46865466\" class=\"story-body__link\">China&#8217;s trade figures should concern us all<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>So what is it doing? <\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s cutting some taxes, to put more money in peoples&#8217; pockets. It&#8217;s reduced the reserve rate for banks, so they don&#8217;t have to keep as much capital in the safe, and can &#8211; in theory &#8211; lend more out and boost spending. <\/p>\n<p>And yes, it is splurging cash on big infrastructure projects &#8211; railways, bridges, and a vast new city near Beijing.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"story-body__crosshead\">&#8216;High risk&#8217; firms   <\/h2>\n<p>Only one of those measures is likely to help Wu Yijian. <\/p>\n<p>Mr Wu is a consumption success story. He is the co-founder of a tech start-up that makes desk top robots, in various sizes, which help China&#8217;s children play and learn.<\/p>\n<p>Xiao Bai &#8211; or Little White &#8211; is powered by voice recognition and artificial intelligence that Mr Wu and his co-founders have spent 20 years developing. <\/p>\n<p>As we stood in his office in Shanghai he called its name. It swivelled towards us and blinked. But private firms like his aren&#8217;t the focus of China&#8217;s stimulus efforts.<\/p>\n<p>He told me sales &#8220;increased&#8221; in 2018 &#8220;but it&#8217;s not as good as we planned&#8221;. <\/p>\n<p>Venture capital &#8211; private money &#8211; helped get them to where they are. <\/p>\n<p>He says they won&#8217;t be turning to China&#8217;s state-owned banks &#8211; almost all of the banks here are state-owned or controlled &#8211; for help if things get tough in 2019.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"media-landscape has-caption full-width\"><span class=\"image-and-copyright-container\"><\/p>\n<p>            <\/span><figcaption class=\"media-caption\"><span class=\"off-screen\">Image caption<\/span><br \/>\n                <span class=\"media-caption__text\"><br \/>\n                    Wu Yijian depends on venture capital to fund projects like this robot<br \/>\n                <\/span><br \/>\n            <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>&#8220;Government banks have very low interest rates but that kind of money is not suitable for the company like us.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>He told me that&#8217;s because banks &#8220;hate&#8221; risk and his company is still considered &#8220;high risk&#8221;.  <\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s mostly big, state controlled firms that benefit from those low interest loans. That kind of preferential treatment has long been a central tenet of a Communist government that treated private enterprise as second class.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Traditional banks, they prefer collateral, like property. But tech companies like us we don&#8217;t have properties. The biggest assets are human resources,&#8221; Mr Wu told me. <\/p>\n<p>He likes the tax cuts though. He hopes that will mean more parents buying more desk top robots.<\/p>\n<p>President Xi has talked about his &#8220;two unwaverings&#8221; &#8211; an unwavering commitment to state-backed firms and the private sector. <\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s the latter after all that creates by far the most new jobs.<\/p>\n<p>The government has promised new efforts to boost sales of new cars and household goods. One province here has even <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/business-46872929\" class=\"story-body__link\">touted the idea of a longer weekend, so people can shop more.<\/a><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"story-body__crosshead\">A good year ahead<\/h2>\n<p>Song Junfu is well placed to deal with whatever 2019 throws at him. <\/p>\n<p>His business is paper. Most importantly, paper for the furniture industry. Mr Song&#8217;s company makes advanced paper used to imprint patterns on synthetic leather. Which is why he is based in Haining, a city developed by the government to focus on furniture.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;For our business, I would say, it won&#8217;t be affected that seriously&#8230; partially because of the advanced features of our product, [plus] there&#8217;s a big need for the product in China.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>As we stood in front of a long, green, four metre high piece of machinery at his plant he said &#8220;we feel confident in the market&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>He also has the support of the Agricultural Bank of China, one of the big four state-owned banks.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"media-landscape has-caption full-width\"><span class=\"image-and-copyright-container\"><\/p>\n<p>                 <span class=\"off-screen\">Image copyright<\/span><br \/>\n                 <span class=\"story-image-copyright\">Getty Images<\/span><\/p>\n<p>            <\/span><figcaption class=\"media-caption\"><span class=\"off-screen\">Image caption<\/span><br \/>\n                <span class=\"media-caption__text\"><br \/>\n                    Song Junfu&#8217;s company has benefitted from government support<br \/>\n                <\/span><br \/>\n            <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>&#8220;The support of the government can be a plus, let&#8217;s say, to help the development of the business,&#8221; he told me. <\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Financially we can get support, to maybe move your project a little faster.&#8221;<\/p>\n<hr class=\"story-body__line\"\/>\n<h2 class=\"story-body__crosshead\">Global Trade<\/h2>\n<p>More from the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/business-38507481\" class=\"story-body__link\">BBC&#8217;s series taking an international perspective on trade:<\/a><\/p>\n<hr class=\"story-body__line\"\/>\n<p>Mr Song&#8217;s company is private, and it&#8217;s taken decades of first study, then development and investment to get to where it is now. <\/p>\n<p>It is very far from the often inefficient, behemoth state-owned entities. <\/p>\n<p>But as a manufacturer, he&#8217;s more likely to benefit from any direct stimulus measures than the robot makers of Shanghai.<\/p>\n<p>He doesn&#8217;t need the help though. Even with a trade war with the US causing huge anxiety for many of China&#8217;s manufacturing exporters like him, he thinks he can absorb any hit. <\/p>\n<p>There is a &#8220;big, nice margin&#8221; on the products they export to the US he told me, so &#8220;even if we make 5% or 10% less, for us it&#8217;s still good business.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/business-47038327\">Source<\/a> by <a href=\"\">[author_name]<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Image copyright Getty Images Build stuff or buy stuff? China has long been a believer in the former to deal with a slowdown in its economy. Now it&#8217;s trying to shift the emphasis to the latter. This year will be a big test of how far it&#8217;s come in the transition from state-backed investment to &hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":7124,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7123","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-general"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.styledeals.co.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7123","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.styledeals.co.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.styledeals.co.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.styledeals.co.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7123"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.styledeals.co.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7123\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.styledeals.co.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7124"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.styledeals.co.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7123"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.styledeals.co.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7123"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.styledeals.co.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7123"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}